(TheLibertyRevolution.com)- President Donald Trump knows what it’s like to trail in the polls but eventually win anyway, which is why the recent news that the president is slashing Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s lead in various swing states is so interesting.
According to the Real Clear Politics polling average, President Trump has successfully halved Joe Biden’s average lead in the swing states of Florida and Pennsylvania, suggesting that the race is much closer than many pollsters and media pundits would like to believe. RCP reports that President Trump slashed a 3.7-point lead in Florida for Joe Biden on October 13 to 1.6 points as of Wednesday.
Similarly, President Trump slashed a 7-point average lead in Pennsylvania for Joe Biden to 3.7 points on Wednesday.
However, the polls still show Joe Biden with generally consistent leads in North Carolina, Michigan, and Arizona. The Democratic candidate is leading by 3 points in Arizona, 2 points in North Carolina, and 7 points in Michigan. This does not, however, necessarily mean that the president is trailing.
In 2016, President Trump won in key swing states that were predicted to be a Democrat win. The inaccuracies in polling were put down to pollsters oversampling Democrats in these states, as well as a so-called “Shy” Trump vote. These were people who were not willing to admit publicly that they were voting for the president over fears of a backlash from far-left activists.
President Trump’s improved performance in average polls is a sign that his campaign is bouncing back after a tough few months. Since recovering from COVID-19, President Donald Trump has returned to regular campaigning, with campaign officials recently announcing that he would attend as many as five daily rallies until election day.
The Trump re-election campaign has also pledged to spend over $250 million in advertising in Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, and Florida in the final two weeks of campaigning.
2. No surprise FL/PA dominating — from 9/27-wk of 11/1:
FL: $113m bw the campaigns and outside groups
— Domenico Montanaro (@DomenicoNPR) October 9, 2020
President Donald Trump narrowly won Michigan in 2016, despite some polls suggesting Hillary Clinton would win the state by double digits. With this momentum, it’s possible that President Trump could expand on that narrow margin.